Sunday, March 20, 2016

NIFTY AND BANKNIFTY OUTLOOK FOR 21st MARCH 2016

NIFTY wave counts continued from last week..below are the updated counts

Total Wave C.3.4.A - 6825-7583 (758 points)

Wave C.3.4.B: 7583-7405 - 178 points  (23.6% retracement of WaveA) i.e., 758 x (23.6%) = 178

Wave C.3.4.C.1:  7405 - 7585  (180 Points)
Wave C.3.4.C.2:    7585-7479 (106 Points) 58% retracement of Wave 1 = 180 x 0.58 = 106 approx. the                                              usual/common correction of Wave 2 which is 61.8034% 
Wave C.3.4.C.3:   7479- 7613 (Till Now 134 points)

Wave 3 above as per elliott wave theory cannot be the shortest amongst 1,3 and 5. So by that rule it is either bigger than 1 which was 180 points i.e., another 46 points. so 7613 + 46 = 7659 or it could be shorter than Wave 1. 

If the latter happens where Wave 3 becomes shorter than wave 1 then wave 5 would be the shortest as per EW rules.

And Wave 4 would probably break the zone of Wave 1 which is 7583 zone and breach below that...making more perfect case for and Ending Diagnol and big reversal.

My analysis is the same...that upside is blocked 7695-7714-7730 zone...so Wave 5 would end up below this region.

BANKNIFTY wave counts i have updated on the chart

WAVE C.4.A - 13407-15451 (2044 Points)
WAVE C.4.B - 15451-14989 (462 Points) 22.6% retracement of Wave A approx. equal to 23.6% retraement
WaAVE C.4.C - 14989 - 15704 (till now 715 points) currently 34.9% retracment...38.2 would mean 780 points which is another 65 points from 15704 i.e., 15769.


Happy Trading !

10 comments:

  1. Replies
    1. bujji: adhering to stop loss is very important,i had target for banknifty from 13407 to 1500 points minimum...that happened in two days only....the time is a very important factor we all know when it comes to trading...so as of now would update with fresh view post getting some confirmation.

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  2. What to do abhishek ji. Har roj nifty upar hi bhagta hein kya kare sir march ne to vaat laga di sir ji niche aata hi nahi.

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    Replies
    1. Brijesh: I understand,yes i agree ki March mein waat lagi hai on short side...but i think we had a good 1500 points earned in Banknifty from 13407 i don't know whether you were in that upride or not....would post levels soon.

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  3. It is the very nature of market to test the patience through the deepest nerves. Market will sink from many of us would have stopped hoping.
    I am with you Abhishek sir...🙌🙌🙌

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    Replies
    1. neeraj: i understand and i am happy that you are with me...lets see what is in store for march expiry and april too...though i am still confident of a collapse

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  4. Hi Abhishek, 7714 has already come so now 7730 spot is what we are looking right..Do you still are in the same view of 7200 ??

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  5. Hi Abhishek, 7714 has already come so now 7730 spot is what we are looking right..Do you still are in the same view of 7200 ??

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  6. Madhavi: Have just posted today's OUTLOOK,please refer to it for further guidance.

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