Morning !
It has been long i wrote something. This upward movement on both major indices has been constantly going on.
Referring to my last post on 3rd May 2017, i mentioned and gave couple of sell calls with manageable SL for both NIFTY and BANKNIFTY.
The fall witnessed in NIFTY in a fashion of 10137 - 9685 -10178 - 9687 has been a sideways wave 4 movement and since 9687 it has again shifted gears for moving in upwards direction and creating all time highs.
I am updating my wave counts for NIFTY since 6825.
WAVE 1: 6825 - 8968
WAVE 2: 8968 - 7893 (Sharp Wave 2 from 7th September 2016 to 26th December 2016)
WAVE 3: 7893 - 10137
WAVE 4: 10137 - 9687 (Sideways Irregular Flat Wave 4 from 2nd August 2017 to 28th September 2017)
WAVE 5: 9687 - Potential (10825 - 11325 - 11825) Time frame 3 to 4 months
The above wave counts 1 to 5 are of the Fifth Wave, of which Wave 1 started from 2252 on 27th October 2008
The bigger wave counts goes like this:
WAVE I: 2252 - 6338
WAVE II: 6338 - 4531
WAVE III: 4531 - 9119
WAVE IV: 9119 - 6825
WAVE V: 6825 - Ongoing (expected to be completed in range of 10825 to 11825)
This ongoing WAVE 5 is highly likely going for 11325 to 11825 zone to complete 2 degrees of trend one starting from 6825 and another starting from 2252. This uptrend would make traders feel a euphoria which has been experienced never before. By numbers this will be a 5000 points rally approximately within a span of 2 years from 6825 to 11825 (Started February 2016 ending approximately in First Quarter 2018).
The wave counts for BANKNIFTY since are as follows: (In sync with NIFTY)
WAVE 1: 13407 - 20575
WAVE 2: 20575 - 17606 (Sharp Wave 2 from 7th September 2016 to 26th December 2016)
WAVE 3: 17606 - 25198
WAVE 3: 17606 - 25198
WAVE 4: 25198 - 23611 (Sideways Flat Wave 4 from 2nd August 2017 to 28th September 2017)
WAVE 5: 23611 - 30500 to 31000 (Approximately again in the same time frame of Quarter 1 of 2018)
So from here there is a decent enough buying opportunity both in NIFTY and BANKNIFTY. For NIFTY in form of NIFTYBEES if someone wants to buy delivery of this ETF and in case of BANKNIFTY futures with the stop loss that one can bear.
The above views remain intact till the time we do not break 9685 on NIFTY and 23611 for BANKNIFTY. So, from here approx 1000-1500 points rally in NIFTY and approx 5000 - 6000 points rally in BANKNIFTY.
Happy Trading !

